Florida basketball vs. LSU: Prediction, pick, line, spread, odds, watch live stream online

By Adam Silverstein
March 6, 2019
Florida basketball vs. LSU: Prediction, pick, line, spread, odds, watch live stream online

Image Credit: Graphic by Michael Meredith

Coming off their worst loss of the season and now firmly on the bubble for the 2019 NCAA Tournament, the Florida Gators need a lot of help to get back into the field. Namely, Florida must pick up another big victory, which it will have an opportunity to do at home on Wednesday night when it hosts the No. 10 LSU Tigers.

What will go down in the Gators’ penultimate game and final home contest of the 2018-19 regular season? Let’s take a look at what you need to know and how you can watch Florida-LSU.

Viewing information

Date: Wednesday, March 6 | Time: 7 p.m. ET
Location: Stephen C. O’Connell Center — Gainesville, Florida (Capacity: 10,151)

TV: ESPN2 (Karl Ravech, Andy Kennedy)
Live stream: WatchESPN.com | SiriusXM: 134/190/381 | Radio: WRUF, TuneIn

Live updates: @OnlyGators on Twitter

Tale of the tape

Florida Gators No. 10 LSU Tigers
Head coach Mike White Will Wade
Record 17-12 (9-7 SEC) 24-5 (14-2 SEC)
Conference SEC SEC

Prediction and analysis

Spread: Pick ’em | O/U: 140

Beating down LSU on the road — in overtime — for its first and only victory over a ranked opponent this season has people believing in Florida on Wednesday night. Are they forgetting that this is the same team that barfed all over itself last week when it could have locked up an NCAA Tournament bid against a sub.-500 Georgia — at home?! There is no situation in which I would take these Gators in a pick ’em over a clearly superior opponent. Florida does have talent. It can win this game. LSU is playing for a league title and high seed in the tourney. Plus, the Tigers will be looking for revenge. They should win a game that sneaks over, though if UF does somehow pull this off, that will speak a lot to the resilience of White’s squad.

2018-19 records: ATS picks 3-1 | O/U picks 3-1

Projected starting five

PG Andrew Nembhard, freshman (6-foot-5, 191 pounds)
G KeVaughn Allen, senior (6-foot-2, 193 pounds)
G Noah Locke, freshman (6-foot-3, 205 pounds)
F Keyontae Johnson (6-foot-5, 225 pounds)
F/C Kevarrius Hayes, senior (6-foot-9, 227 pounds)

Florida has alternated lineups all season but used this grouping in 12 of the last 13 games with the one exception due to an injury suffered by Hayes.

Game notes

» Florida is just 47-63 all-time against LSU, including 29-20 in the O’Dome and 4-1 under White. The Gators do, however, have a 7-3 edge against the Tigers in their last 10 meetings.
» UF is now 3-9 in Quadrant 1 games this season and has just one win over a ranked opponent (1-6).
» Florida is 11-20 against AP Top 25 teams and 2-6 against top 10 teams under White.
» This is the first time in nearly 12 years that UF will face top-10 teams in back-to-back games.
» The Gators are 4-10 when shooting below 40 percent from the field this season, 13-2 when shooting above 40 percent and undefeated (10-0) when hitting more than 46 percent of their shots with two overtime victories.

» Allen enters seventh in program history in scoring (1,660) and has an opportunity to enter the top five before the ending the season. He also has the best free throw percentage in program history (.876) and is third in three-point attempts (710) and seventh in makes (241). This will mark Allen’s 128th career start, tying him for second-most in program history.
» Hayes is second in program history with 203 blocks.

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