Florida vs. Miami line, spread: Gators open as more than a touchdown favorite

By Adam Silverstein
June 21, 2019
Florida vs. Miami line, spread: Gators open as more than a touchdown favorite
Football

Image Credit: ESPN Images

Time certainly flies, and as such, we are somehow just two months out from the start of the 2019 college football season, which begins a week early thanks to the Florida Gators and Miami Hurricanes agreeing to move up their neutral-site game. Florida and Miami will battle on Saturday, Aug. 24 in Orlando, Florida, meeting on the gridiron for the first time since 2013.

Now that the game is slowly but surely approaching, oddsmakers have come out with lines that have Florida listed as anywhere from a 7-point to an 8-point favorite against Miami.

As noted by SportsBettingDime.com, which lists the Gators at -8, Florida is coming off an impressive 10-3 season, its first under head coach Dan Mullen. Miami, of course, struggled to a 7-5 showing under Mark Richt and changed coaches this offseason, moving to Manny Diaz, who previously served as the team’s defensive coordinator.

Diaz actually served as Mullen’s defensive coordinator and linebackers coach for two nonconsecutive seasons at Mississippi State (2010, 2015) before joining the UM staff in 2016. In both of those short tenures at MSU, Diaz helped lead an immediate defensive turnaround.

Still, it is UF that should enter this game with the momentum coming off a successful 2018 campaign with redshirt junior quarterback Feleipe Franks finally seeming to understand what it takes to be in command of the offense. Florida returns a tremendous amount of offensive firepower in 2019 at the skill positions, and its depth has improved defensively even though the Gators made some strides on that side of the ball last season.

It is too early to make a prediction, of course, but one would expect this line to fall below a touchdown as we get closer to kickoff. That would make taking Florida a little more palatable as it is always difficult to take a team by a touchdown in a rivalry game during their first appearance of the season. There are generally too many unknowns — and too many nerves — to feel comfortable laying that number unless there is a significant talent disparity.

The Hurricanes lead the all-time series 29-26 over the Gators, though Florida at one point won seven straight meetings from 1971-77. Still, Miami has been victorious in seven of the last eight meetings dating back to 1986 with the teams 1-1 in the last decade.

5 Comments

  1. William Freeman says:

    When Florida can beat a team like Michigan by 25 points and Miami lose to Wisconsin by 32, logical to me that Florida should win by 14 or more on a neutral field. Miami also has issues with the quarterback position. Both teams return starters at skill positions.

    • John Kaune says:

      You’re obviously not paying attention to the UM offseason. You can’t compare their last season to this upcoming season. It’s a whole new team

      • William Freeman says:

        We will find out on August 24, then see who has bragging rights. Slightly different personnel for sure but basically the same. I am sticking by my original estimate of the game. Both defenses are very good with Miami better in the secondary, but Florida has a better running game. Who wins? Maybe the corners will say something.

      • rob says:

        YOU CANES FANS ARE DREAMING….WE WERE WHERE YOU ARE TWO YEARS AGO..EXCEPT DAN MULLIN WON 2 AND ALMOST 3 NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIPS WITH URBAN MEYER AT FLORIDA IN 06 HIS SECOND YEAR AND AGAIN IN 08 THE 4TH YEAR AND 1 TD AWAY FROM PLAYING FOR A 3RD IN 09!!!! INSTEAD TEBOW AND CO IN THE SUGAR BOWL SET AN OFFENSE RECORD AND KILLED UNBEATEN AND 13TH RANKED CINCINNATI 52-20!!!!! THIS GATOR TEAM WITH FRANKS AS QB IS A MONSTER….JUST TRY COVERING OUR 4 ALL WORLD WIDE OUTS AND TONEY AND THEN COVERING THE 3 RUNNING BACKS!!!! NOT GOING TO HAPPEN…AND THE DEFENSE IS GOING TO LIGHT UP YOUR NEW QB!!!! SCORE FLORIDA LETS BE KIND 45 MIAMI 13!!!!! GO GATORS GET REAL MIAMI

    • Bubba says:

      I laugh when I hear someone say that team lost to that team and the other team beat that team so one team should be the other…obviously you’re not a true competitor considering game day mistakes, certain adjustments made or even worse game time decisions and injuries. Just play the game chief and see what happens…GO GATORS

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